Every candidate in this contest, certified votes across the full district.
Where you were strongest, and weakest
Your vote share compared with your district-wide average. Green precincts beat your average; red ones trailed it.
How to read this report
Every measure in one place, in plain language.
Share is your percent of the votes cast for actual candidates in a precinct. +/- compares a precinct's share with your district-wide average, so +8 means that precinct liked you 8 points more than the district did overall.
Turnout is ballots cast divided by registered voters. Lean is the TGO model's partisan read of the registered voters, written like a poll: D+10 means modeled Democrats outnumber modeled Republicans by 10 points. Lean describes who LIVES there; share describes who VOTED and how.
Propensity scores how reliably each voter has turned out historically: high propensity voters almost always vote, low almost never, sporadic in between. The Electorate tab checks the model against what actually happened in this election.
Precincts with unreadable results (a handful of voters, impossible numbers) are set aside automatically; the Results tab lists each one and the reason. They still count in your official totals but are kept out of rankings and targets so one 3-vote precinct cannot look like your best neighborhood.
What the numbers say
Written analysis of this race, generated from the certified results and voter-file data in this report.
Results by city and area
The district rolled up into its cities and unincorporated areas. Click a column heading to sort.
Results by precinct
Click a column heading to sort. Share is your percent of the candidate vote in that precinct; +/- compares it with your district average; Lean is the precinct's overall party favor from the TGO model (D+10 means modeled Democrats outnumber modeled Republicans by 10 points, R+10 the reverse).
Set aside: precincts screened out of the rankings
These precincts reported results that cannot be read at face value, usually a tiny sample or a data mismatch. Their votes still count in your official totals; they are simply excluded from best/worst lists, turnout rankings, and targets.
Your action plan
The powerhouse precincts
Your ballot history
Every appearance on a Washington ballot in the loaded results, oldest first. This is your trajectory.
This seat over time
The same contest in earlier elections. Useful for what "normal" looks like here: typical winning share, typical total vote.
Where you gained and lost ground
GainedLost
Turnout in context
Your district against each county it touches and the state as a whole.
Turnout history for this electorate
How often the voters registered in this district today have turned out in past elections.
Ballot returns day by day
Ballots received from this district's voters over the voting window.
Turnout by city and area
Which parts of the district showed up, and which stayed home.
Turnout by precinct
The strongest and weakest turnout precincts in the district. The full sortable list is in the Results tab.
Turnout shift since last time
Biggest gainsBiggest drops
Missed opportunities
Precincts where you ran strongest but turnout lagged the district. If your people had shown up at the district rate, these are where the cheapest extra votes were. These are your GOTV targets next time.
Modeled partisanship
TGO partisanship score across registered voters in this district. Unmodeled voters have no reliable signal either way.
Turnout by modeled partisanship
Who actually showed up this election, split by the TGO partisanship model. This is where enthusiasm gaps become visible.
Vote propensity
How reliably this district's voters turn out, from the TGO propensity model.
The model check: predicted vs actual turnout
If the propensity model is honest, high-propensity voters should turn out far above sporadic and low. Each bar is that segment's ACTUAL turnout in this election, against a district average of .
Age of the electorate
Registered voters by age at election day.
Precinct map
Hover for details, click a precinct to pin it, drag to pan, scroll to zoom. Switch the shading to explore.